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Showing posts with label execution. Show all posts
Showing posts with label execution. Show all posts

Focus on the results


"However beautiful the strategy, you should occasionally look at the results."

- Winston Churchill

You've developed an evidence-based future-oriented business strategy. It differentiates you in the market. You've got plans in place, focused and aligned all your resources to achieve it. Job done! Right?

Not quite!

Your job is not over yet.

You see, the real world does not play along. Competitors fight back. Suppliers fail to deliver or change their strategies. Customers change their minds. Unexpected technological breakthroughs disrupt your market. All manner of things can, and probably will, disrupt your strategy.

"No plan survives contact with the enemy."

- Moltke the Elder

Mike Tyson makes the same point - perhaps more colourfully:

"Everybody has a plan until they get punched in the mouth."

- Mike Tyson

As you're executing your strategy, you need to continually be asking yourself two things:

  1. Has the evidence on which I based my strategy changed? Is it still true? Has new evidence come to light?
  2. Is my strategy producing the results I thought it would?

This post focuses on the second of those two questions.

If your strategy is not producing the desired results, don't just keep going!

"Insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results."

- Albert Einstein

Instead, take a step back and ask:

  • Why isn't it producing the results?
  • What can I do about it?

This may take you right back to the analysis phase of your strategy development. And that may lead you to a revised strategy. But that's not what we're here to talk about now.

We're here to talk about the results themselves.

Specifically about two problems I frequently see:

  1. Focusing on the effort, not the outcome
  2. Measuring the data you have

Problem 1: Focusing on the effort, not the outcome

I remember talking through a strategy scorecard with a CEO. He stopped me and asked: "Are you suggesting I measure success in terms of the outcomes achieved rather than the effort my team put in?"

And, of course, that is exactly what I am suggesting.

You may want to consider effort when determining remuneration and promotion. (Probably alongside other factors like demonstration of corporate values, etc.)

But when it comes to strategy execution, the focus should be clearly on outcomes - results.

Results are what attract your customers and keep them coming back. Results are what your shareholders/owners and other stakeholders are after.

Strategy is about achieving results. In the most efficient and effective way.

Here is a hypothetical example I am sure you will all recognise. A business decides it wants to increase customer satisfaction or customer retention or some such outcome. Then it decides that, to do so, it needs to install a new CRM or some such initiative. Six months later, success is declared. The new CRM has been installed on schedule and within budget. (It's a hypothetical example!)

In the midst of the celebration which follows no-one remembers to check whether the outcomes were achieved. Did the new CRM result in increase customer satisfaction or retention? Or did it not?

This is such a pervasive problem that some organisations have established a whole new discipline to counter it. This is often known as Benefits Realisation.

Initiatives may start off with the best intentions. But benefits realisation often falls by the wayside before the initiative completes. Overruns clash with tight schedules and budgets to squeeze it out. New priorities are set. Resources are redeployed. The business moves on.

Problem 2: Measuring the data you have

One of the reasons for this is that collecting the data you need can be expensive.

Data must be collected, validated and analysed.

The effort to do so is often not fully understood or valued.

It is somehow easier to justify the effort and expense of installing a new CRM than it is to justify the expense and effort of measuring the outcomes. And if it is justified initially, it is often one of the first things to get descoped or simply forgotten about as the project schedule and budget tightens.

Investing in measuring the outcomes should be given at least as much priority as investing in the steps you take to improve them. If you don't, you will never know if your strategy is really working or not.

Faced with the expense of collecting, validating and analysis new data, many organisations make the mistake of trying to rely on data they already have. After all, most organisations are already awash with data. (Even if it is poorly managed.)

The problem is that most of this data exists for other purposes. Much or it exists for accounting or regulatory purposes. These are important sources of data. But they're probably not going to help you to track the progress of your strategy.

Strategy is about making choices and differentiating your organisation. Your strategy should be unique to your organisation.

Accounting and regulatory standards are not unique to your organisation. The data and measures they require are not unique to your organisation. So they are unlikely to be relevant to your strategy.

If, when setting out a new strategy, you are told you can track its progress using data the organisation already has available, you should smell a rat.

Your strategy determines what the organisation needs to focus on. Why would your organisation have invested in tracking and outcome before it was deemed to be strategically important?

So a new strategy always requires an investment in new metrics. You should consider the cost of developing those metrics to be an integral part of the cost of executing that strategy.

Furthermore, you should define the metrics to be gathered as part of the development of the strategy.

The scientific method requires us to determine the criteria for success before the experiment is run. This prevents people from post-rationalising their choices. The same is true for strategy.

Conclusion

It is my personal opinion that insufficient focus on results is one of the main reasons so few strategies get successfully executed.

(That's why results tracking, using a strategic scorecard, is built into StratNavApp.com.)

Our current bias towards action ("Just do it") mitigates against our investment in the disciplines which underpin success.

If the desired results are not clearly and unambiguously outlined from the start, alignment suffers. Efforts quickly diverge because it is impossible to know which directions are/aren't producing the better results.

Decision makers kid themselves that they're successfully executing the strategy and that it is working. Without any evidence to confirm or disconfirm it, there is little pressure:

  • to try harder, 
  • to make the tough decisions and trade-offs,
    or, perhaps most importantly,
  • to know and accept when they make a mistake and then correct course.

Good luck!

As always, I would welcome your thoughts and questions in the comments below. And if you need any help of a more specific nature, you can contact me here.

Understanding the 3 Horizons model

The 3 Horizons model is one of my favourite tools for helping people to think more strategically.

The 3 Horizons model suggests that a sustainable business plan should include a combination of 3 types of initiatives or projects:

  1. Horizon 1 - Improve includes all the initiatives that you need to do to improve, maintain and fix your existing business. This includes:
    • continuous improvement programmes,
    • quality improvement programmes,
    • regulatory compliance,
    • systems maintenance and upgrades and
    • general maintenance, fixing and improvements to existing processes.
  2. Horizon 2 - Grow includes all the initiatives that you need to improve and grow your business. This typically includes:
    • developing new products and services and
    • entering new markets.
  3. Horizon 3 - Transform includes initiatives that will evolve and transform your business. This typically includes:
    • taking your business into new places in the value chain,
    • developing new business models and
    • disruptive innovation.
It should include at least one initiative that could transform your industry. The so-called category killer. The objective here is to disrupt before you are disrupted.

The 3 Horizons model was originally put forward by McKinsey Consulting in 2000. Since then, the exact definitions of the 3 Horizons has varied from time to time as the model is applied to different contexts. The exact definitions don't really matter that much. It is the concept that matters. That is why I prefer the quite simple definitions outlined above.

3 Horizons Example - Uber

You can easily see all 3 Horizons at play in a company like Uber.

  • In Horizon 1 it is grappling with challenges to its employment practices and from traditional taxi firms and licensing authorities. It is tweaking its pricing model in response to conditions on the ground.
  • In Horizon 2 it continues to expand into new cities and to develop new services.
  • In Horizon 3 it is investing heavily in the development of autonomous vehicles. These will undoubtedly change the very nature of car ownership and personal transportation.

To succeed as a business, it must operate successfully across all 3 horizons at the same time.

Problems the 3 Horizons model helps to solve

The 3 Horizons model is helpful in countering two problems I frequently encounter.

  1. Businesses that use strategy development as a precursor to the annual budget cycle tend to omit or significantly under-weight Horizon 3 initiatives. Restricted budgets keep people focused on the immediate issues of the day. They demand only incremental growth from existing business. They see real change as an unaffordable luxury.
  2. Businesses that approach strategy from a 'blue sky visioning' perspective tend to underplay Horizon 1 and 2 initiatives. As a result, the strategy is distant from most stakeholders' experiences of the organisation. It is removed from its day-to-day operations. In some cases, businesses go as far as developing separate skunk-works to progress the strategy. Whilst this has some advantages, it can make progress difficult to integrate back into the business.

An organisation which is too focused on visionary transformation may not survive long enough to see it bear fruit. An organisation which is too focused on the here and now may be overtaken by events and rendered redundant by the competition.

Advantages of using the 3 Horizons model

Applying the 3 Horizons model to your strategy has three advantages:

  1. It quickly highlights whether your strategy is biased towards either the near term priorities or longer-term transformation.
  2. It can help you rebalance your strategy by filling in any evident gaps.
  3. It helps stakeholders to understand the need to balance all 3 Horizons and pay attention to all of them on an ongoing basis.

Mistakes people make using the 3 Horizons model

I see people making two mistakes when using the 3 Horizons model:

  1. They mistake the 3 Horizons for a sequence. First do the Horizon 1, then do Horizon 2, and only after that do Horizon 3. It is important to focus on all three at the same time. It is important to start exploring and laying the groundwork for Horizon 3 immediately. That is why, for example, Uber is investing so heavily in autonomous vehicles event though it still has lots of work to do in Horizon 1 and 2.
  2. They mistake the 3 Horizons as an expression of how long it will take for initiatives to deliver value. For example, Horizon 1 will deliver value within one year. Think low-hanging fruit. Horizon 2 in 2 to 5 years, and Horizon 3 in 5 to 10 years. Usually, there is some truth to the idea that Horizon 3 initiatives will take longer to bear fruit. But some industries operate on shorter change cycles than others. And sometimes, disruptive change can be just around the corner.

You can now do your own 3 Horizons analysis using the innovative StratNavApp.com online tool for collaborative business strategy development and execution. Simple click on StratNavApp.com, register or log in, and add the 3 Horizons tool in the "Planning" quadrant.

The chart below, illustrating the 3 Horizons, was produced using StratNavApp.com.

Three Horizons
(Click to enlarge.)
See also:

Agility needs a strategy

Agility is another idea frequently posited as being superior to strategy.

The argument goes that the world is changing too quickly for long-term plans and strategy to add value. So, firms should instead just focus on being agile and quick to respond to change.

Once again, this presents a false dichotomy. (See also False dichotomies and the noise before defeat.)

Agility is not an alternative to strategy. In fact, as a goal, agility itself requires a strategy:
  1. What should firms do to become (more) agile?
  2. How should firms avoid the pitfalls of agility?
  3. How do firms decide where to pivot and where to stick? etc.
Agility is a well-developed concept in the field of software engineering and development. A cursory review of the literature will reveal how many different approaches and methodologies for agility there are. Each has pros and cons. Each is likely to be more or less suitable under different circumstances. That same literature is also full of cautionary tales of firms who have failed to implement these approaches well.

Strategy itself is not only about the long term. Strategy should also be about the here and now. In fact, this is one of the advantages of a solid strategy process. It ensures that the myriad decisions that firms face on a daily basis can more easily be made in a way which aligns towards a common goal.

Strategy facilitates agility. When faced with an unforeseen event, stakeholders can more quickly agree which responses most closely align with the strategy. They can then respond more quickly and with greater confidence and alignment. Contrast this with a firm which makes each and every decision independently. Decisions will take longer and involve more frequent changes of direction and even reversals.

However, agility often conceals strategy. Commentators easily observe apparently agile changes without appreciating the underlying strategy which guides them. As Sun Tzu said:
All men can see these tactics whereby I conquer, but what none can see is the strategy out of which victory is evolved.
Update 13 July 2018: I am honoured that Scott Adams seems to have taken up this cause. See his Dilbert Comic for 2 July 2018.